Caleb Marsh, Ph.D.

Reasoning with Statistics course information

MyMathLab is a required resource for this course. You may purchase access through the ASU bookstore or you may purchase access online. I realize that the cost is great, as such you may register for a 14 day trial period for access. Below are the instructions for registering for your MyMathLab section.

Introductory Survey / Introduction to MyMathLab

Click on the link below to complete the introductory survey. Please be aware that although the identity of the respondents will be kept anonymous, the results will be available to all students.

Once you have completed the introductory survey, you will want to familiarize yourself with the MyMathLab Learning Management System. We will be using this online portal to access Statcrunch, the electronic version of your textbook, and the MyMathLab portion of your graded assessments. Click on the link below to take you to the MyMathLab Login Page.

Once logged in:

**Please watch the Intro Video and complete the Orientation HW by August 24 at 5 PM.**

The 5 W's of Data Analysis

•Who: Describe the individuals who were
surveyed.

•What: Determine what is being measured.

•When: When was the research conducted?

•Where: Where was the research conducted?

•Why: What was the purpose of the survey or

experiment?

experiment?

•How: Describe how the survey or experiment was

conducted.

conducted.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 1 HW by August 24 at 5 PM.

Chapter 2 - Displaying and Describing Categorical Data

Click on the links below to gain access to your classes survey responses.

One of the emerging applications we see for statistics is an interdisciplinary journey with the visual arts. The process for creating informative, descriptive, representative can be daunting and needs proper instruction.

Data Visualization Presentation

Where you get your news used to be a simple question and a simple answer. The local news paper, perhaps the network news that came on shortly after dark. Today, that question is less simple and even more polarizing. Below is a link to the full results of a Public Policy Polling study released on February 6, 2013 dealing with this very issue.

Top 100 Influential Conservatives and Liberals

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 2 HW by August 29 at 11 PM.

Chapter 3 - Displaying and Summarizing Quantitative Data

Creating films that are "age appropriate" is less of a science and more of an art form. Whereas we might believe a particular film is created to engage a specific audience, raw data of such a showing might prove other wise. Below you will find links to trailers of three different films released in the fall of 2010. Additionally, you will find an excel sheet with some data that I collected outside of the theater.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 3 HW by August 31 at 11 PM.

Chapter 4 - Understanding and Comparing Distributions

Recently, on Capitol Hill, Senator Diane Feinstein introduced new legislation designed to address "Common Sense Gun Regulations". Pictured above is a Customized Velocity Arms Vmac Automatic Pistol that is listed as a proposed "banned firearm". In truth, at the heart of all gun regulation is the hope that we can reduce the overall violent crime rate... So if we are going to speak intelligently about the crime rate, we should at least know what it is and how it works.

Project 1

Below are two links: the first is to a word document that details the assignment description and the second is an excel document that contains the data you are asked to analyze. These same two documents have also been added to a google drive folder linked under your personal ASU account. Please submit your work using the document provided in drive. Please see this link for further instructions on submission. Please complete this project assignment no later than Thursday, September 6 by 11 PM.

Chapter 5 - The Standard Deviation as a Ruler and the Normal Model

Examine the data set below.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 5 #1 HW by September 6 at 11 PM.

Exam 1 Preparations

Below is a link to several problems we will examine in class today. I will not be taking this document up for a grade.

As you all know, we are quickly approaching our first test date. The link below provides you access to an exam that I gave in a previous semester. This should help you with your preparations for our first test.

***CORRECTION*** - Problem 3b should be .0630.

Chapter 6 - Scatterplots, Association, and Correlation

Leonardo DaVinci was a prolific artist and scientist. In fact, he was one of the first individuals to hypothesize that there was a relationship between certain aspects and measurements of the human body.

Below you will find several data sets that also indicate relationships and associations between various data sets.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 6 #1 HW by September 12 at 11 PM.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 6 #2 HW by September 14 at 11 PM.

Chapter 7 - Linear Regression

Least squares regression is a line fitting technique that we will use to generate a predictive equation based upon several different assumptions and parameters.

Below you will find several data sets that we will use in class to exhibit regression modeling with technology.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 7 HW by September 21 at 11 PM.

UNIT 2 PROJECT

In each of your university provided google drive folders, I have shared with you your next project assignment. This assignment covers material in chapters 6 & 7 of your textbook. Please type your answers directly on the document I have shared with you. Once you have completed the assignment, there is no need to save or share your work since I have retained ownership of the document through google drive. Please complete this assignment no later than Tuesday, September 25. Good Luck!!

**TEST THURSDAY**

In accordance with the schedule on the syllabus, we will have our chapters 6 & 7 examination this Thursday. We will be taking time to review in class on Wednesday. Below is a link to a review document that will help you prepare for this exam. I will post the answer key to this review sheet sometime tomorrow afternoon.

Chapter 11 - Sample Surveys

Below is a link to a presentation that details many of the aspects of experimental design and observational studies.

Sampling Design and Sources of Bias

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 11 HW by September 27 at 11 PM.

Chapter 13 - From Randomness to Probability

Permutation and Combination Calculator

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 13 HW by October 3 at 11 PM.

Chapter 14 - Probability Rules!

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 14 HW by October 10 at 11 PM.

Below is a link to a document that contains several supplemental problems that we will examine in class today.

Chapter 15 - Random Variables

Given my recent experiences with the Medical Industry, I was recently prompted to look over my own insurance policy and found the wonderful gem below.

Exam 3 Review Documents

Below are some materials that will help you review for this upcoming test.

Chapter 17 - Sampling Distribution Models

One of the most well known moments in US Presidential history was the first inauguration of President Franklin D. Roosevelt. At that moment, President Franklin D. Roosevelt delivered his 1932 inauguration speech titled "The Only Thing We Have to Fear is Fear Itself". As important as this moment was to American history, the days leading up to his inauguration were just as tense and meaningful. Click on the link below to access the electoral map from the 1932 general election.

Posted below are a few questions I would like you to ponder with a nearby classmate.

Click on the link below to access additional examples that we will examine in class today.

Sampling Distributions for Proportions

Posted below are a few example problems that we will ponder in class.

Sampling Distributions for Means

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 17 #1 HW by October 26 at 11 PM.

Project 4

I have created and distributed your third project to your google drive folders. This assignment is titled "Project 4 - The Central Limit Theorem". Please complete this assignment no later than Monday, October 29.

Chapter 18 - Confidence Intervals for Proportions

What do we mean by confident?

Confidence Intervals for Proportions Supplement

Chapter 20 - Inferences about Means (Confidence Intervals)

A little known fact is that beer and statistics have a common history. See the links below for more details.

Below is a link to the Student's T table.

Below you will find several problems that we will examine in class today with the aid statcrunch.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 20 #1 HW by November 7 at 11 PM.

As you all know, we are quickly approaching our fourth test date. The link below provides you access to an exam that I gave in a previous semester. This should help you with your preparations for our next test.

Exam 4 Review Sheet Answer Key

Chapter 19 - Hypothesis Testing for Proportions

*5 steps for hypothesis testing*

1. Given a claim determine the null and alternative hypotheses.

2. Given a claim and sampled data determine a test statistic.

3. Given a claim and sampled data find a critical value.

4. Given a claim and sampled data find a p-value.

5. State your conclusions in plain understandable English

PROJECT 5

I have created a 5th project for your consideration based on the first few steps of the hypothesis testing process. You will find this document in your google drive account. Please complete this assignment no later than 11 PM on November 16, 2018. Good Luck!!!

Since the nuances of hypothesis testing are to say the least, complicated, it is reasonable to believe that conclusions based upon these tests must be worded properly. See the following link for hints on how to do this.

Wording of the Final Conclusion

Below you will find a link to a document containing several problems that we will examine in class today.

Hypothesis Testing for Proportions

Using Statcrunch to perform One Proportion Z-Tests

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 19 HW by November 26 at 11 PM.

Chapter 20 - Inferences about means (Hypothesis Testing)

*5 steps for hypothesis testing (amended)*

1. Given a claim determine the null and alternative hypotheses.

2. Given a claim and sampled data determine a test statistic.

3. Given a claim and sampled data find a critical value.

4. Given a claim and sampled data approximate a p-value.

5. State your conclusions in plain understandable English

Below you will find a document containing several supplementary problems that we will examine in class today.

Hypothesis Testing for Means Supplement

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 20 HW #2 by November 28 at 11 PM.

Chapter 22 - Comparing Groups

Below is a link to a data set, produced by fivethiryeight, describing a sample of 2010 - 2012 college graduates and their employment status. Source: The American Community Survey

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 22 HW #1 by November 30 at 11 PM.

Exam 5 Review Sheet Answer Key

Exam 5 Take Home Information

Your last exam episode of the semester will be a take home administration that will be completed via google drive. You may use your textbook and statcrunch as tool to help you complete this examination. YOUR COMPLETE HONESTY IS EXPECTED ON THIS EXAMINATION. Any individuals found to have been dishonest during this examination will be dealt with in the harshest possible manner allowed by the ASU Academic Integrity Policy. Please complete this examination no later than Monday, December 3 at 11 PM.

This exam will be available beginning on November 30 at Noon. Good Luck!!!

Chapter 26 - Analysis of Variance

Below is a link to a dataset examining the effectiveness of different types of fertilizer products applied to fall mums over a 63 day window. We will examine this data set today in class.

Once logged in:

Please Chapter 26 HW by December 5 at 11 PM.

Final Examination materials

Testing Dates and Times

Section 101 - Friday, December 7, 2018 at 8:00 AM (room 205)

Section 103 - Monday, December 10, 2018 at 8:00 AM (room 205)

Click on the link below to access a comprehensive final review packet.

Final Exam Review Packet Answer Key

Final Exam Documents and Links